Thursday, October 1, 2009

State of the Race: New Jersey Governor (10/1/09)

[Click to Enlarge]

The other shoe dropped today on the day of the first gubernatorial debate in New Jersey. Yesterday it was Quinnipiac that showed a closer race after having shown Chris Christie comfortably ahead for much of the year. Today it is Monmouth/Gannett, that's following suit. Of course, Daily Kos/Research 2000 are going to show an equally tight race in the morning.

2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Polling
Margin of Error
Monmouth/Gannett [pdf]
Sept. 24-29, 2009
+/- 4.3%
527 likely voters

Again, though, this is evidence not of a Corzine comeback (He has inched into the 39-40% range this week.), but of Republican Chris Christie's decline from a summer peak in the lower 50s. Independent candidate Chris Daggett initially seemed to be taking away support from Corzine, but as Christie drops and Daggett remains around the same level in the polls, on its face at least, it appears as if he may be drawing more support from the Republican.

We'll have to see what the internals on the Kos poll look like in the morning.

[Click to Enlarge]

Recent Posts:
State of the Race: Virginia Governor (9/30/09)

Democratic Change Commission Set to Meet on Oct. 24 in Washington

More on the Temporary Delegate Selection Committee: Iowa and Instant Runoffs?

No comments: