Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Colorado Congressional District Caucuses Final Tally: 67% of the Vote, 64% of the Delegates

In Nevada there was a pronounced difference between the percentage of the vote both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama got in the first round of caucuses in the Silver state and the percentage of delegates each eventually got. And while there isn't a full picture of how things shook out in Colorado over the weekend, we now know the delegate breakdown from each of the state's congressional district caucuses. Of the 36 delegates allocated based on congressional district caucuses, Clinton improved slightly upon her initial numbers in the precinct-level meetings; inching up from around 33% of the vote there to about 36% of the delegates from the state's 7 congressional districts. This means that this increase is either a function of the math of the process (ie: dividing the delegates into each of the districts and then the potential for rounding up to the nearest delegate within each) or the reports that the Colorado Clinton supporters were out in full force in Colorado Springs this past weekend have some merit.

In any event, Clinton's gains, however slight, go against the prevailing hypothesis that emerged in the recent post concerning how Obama's "inevitability" following North Carolina and Indiana would affect him in the continuing caucus process. Again, we don't have the full picture of the Colorado delegate situation because the 19 state convention delegates have yet to be reported by the Colorado Democratic Party. It does, however, show that unlike Nevada, Clinton made gains in the arena where Obama had done best during this primary season: caucuses. Will that help her make a better case to superdelegates? Probably not. Not with a 10 delegate deficit (13-23) among just these 36 delegates.

I'll be back with more when the state convention numbers are posted.

Still no word out of Kansas either.

Recent Posts:
And Off Again: Kansas Presidential Primary Bill Vetoed

The Links for 5/19/08: Kentucky, Oregon, Electoral College Ties and More

Nevada Final Tally: 45% of the Vote, 56% of the Delegates


Robert said...


Did you see the latest polls from NC? They have Clinton beating McCain by 6% and McCain beating Obama by 8%. So much for Obama putting NC into play.

Josh Putnam said...

I did see that. And I'm going to have to investigate.

Nope, not a typo.


...and interesting. The Clinton poll definitely breaks from the other polls in North Carolina.

Robert said...

Wwe'll have to see if the poll is real or just an abberation.