Showing posts with label Missouri. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Missouri. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 29, 2026

"Missouri Senate committee debates plan to reinstate presidential primary for 2028"


"Missouri would join at least 14 other states with a 'Super Tuesday' presidential primary in 2028 under a bill that would also bind the state’s delegate on the first ballot at national political conventions.

"During testimony Monday to the state Senate Local Government, Elections and Pensions Committee, leaders of the state’s two largest political parties agreed that restoring the primary would increase participation and elevate the state’s national political profile.

“'In 2024 we received just a ton of complaints from probably every legislative district in the state because we only got about 23,000 people participating' in the caucuses that replaced the primary, said Miles Ross, executive director of the Missouri Republican Party.

"The Democratic Party held a private primary in 2024 with voting confined to a Saturday morning. Holding a state-run primary on the first day the two major parties will recognize as valid would attract candidates and money to the state, said Russ Carnahan, chairman of the Missouri Democratic Party.

“'We’d like Missouri to be relevant again,' Carnahan said.

"The committee did not vote on the bill. State Sen. Mike Henderson, a Republican from Desloge and chairman of the committee, said after the meeting that he was uncertain when, or if, he would bring the bill up for a vote."


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Noteworthy: Look, FHQ listened to this hearing live. To call it a debate is misleading. To call it a debate among the members of the committee is just plain wrong. In fact, the only commentary from the members of the Local Government, Elections and Pensions Committee other the instructions from the chair was from a Republican senator asking a follow up of Miles Ross, the state GOP executive director. And that certainly did not spur a lively back and forth.

To the extent there was a "debate," it was among the folks testifying for and against the measure to restore the state-run presidential primary in the Show-Me state. And that functioned more as a Cliff's Notes version of the discussions on the House side in committee. Monday's hearing was as close to a non-event as it could get. 

But there are a few things to take from this latest hearing for HB 2387/2480:
  1. The Senate finally acted on the bill, more than two weeks after the House passed it.
  2. Importantly, the chair of the committee was noncommittal about ever bringing up the legislation for a vote (to clear it for consideration on the floor). 
  3. There is little more than two weeks left in the 2026 session of the Missouri General Assembly. The last day is slated for May 15. 
Relatedly, this is not the only presidential primary bill to make its way out of the House only to be stymied in the state Senate. A provision to restore the primary was part of a mini-bus elections bill in 2025 that was in the queue in committee on the Senate side on the final day of the session, but was not acted upon.

This latest version, which addresses many of the problems that have derailed past efforts (binding of delegates, etc.), may meet the same fate in Jefferson City. 




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This action has been added to the annotated 2028 presidential primary calendar over at our sister site, FHQ Plus.


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Thursday, April 9, 2026

Missouri House passes Super Tuesday presidential primary bill

During the morning session of Thursday, April 9, the Missouri House took up for a third reading and passed HB 2387/2480 by a vote of 116-23.1 The measure would reestablish a state-run presidential primary in the Show-Me state, schedule the election for the first Tuesday in March (Super Tuesday) and proportionally bind the delegates from the state to the national convention based on the results of the preference vote. 

The legislation now moves on to the state Senate where the upper chamber will have a little more than a month to consider it before the General Assembly adjourns on May 15.


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Noteworthy: In some ways this is déjà vu all over again in Jefferson City. The House passed legislation to restore the presidential primary in 2025 only to see the bill die in committee on the Senate side at adjournment. 

The 2026 version may yet meet the same fate. But 2026 is different for a couple reasons. First, the legislation from previous sessions in 2023, 2024 and 2025 offered different paths to resolution and/or were part of broader elections bills encompassing factors outside of the presidential primary as well. If that combination did not slow things down in the House first, it weighed heavily on the Senate's consideration, typically late into the session.

Second, while the progress on HB 2387/2480 was perhaps slow through committee process, reinstituting the presidential primary was not controversial on the floor during either the amendment phase or later upon passage. That maybe has something to do with the newly added language binding the delegates, a sticking point in consideration of past iterations of this legislation. But the measure being focused on the presidential primary and the presidential primary alone may also have contributed to the general lack of controversy. 

Together, that may or may not pay dividends as the bill shifts over to the Senate. But the path has been different this time in the House, it also has buy in from both state parties and the binding language checks out with the national parties. It is likely the best bet to restore the primary in Missouri since omnibus elections legislation eliminated the election in 2022. 

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1Of the votes in opposition, 22 of the 23 were Republicans, roughly a fifth of the current Republican majority in the lower chamber. 



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This action has been added to the annotated 2028 presidential primary calendar over at our sister site, FHQ Plus.


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Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Missouri House clears Super Tuesday presidential primary bill for final passage

The Missouri House on Tuesday, April 7, 2026 took up HB 2387/2480 for perfection (amendment) and after amending the title passed the measure on a voice vote, clearing it for a final vote by the body. 

The legislation would not only restore the presidential primary eliminated in 2022, but schedule the state-funded election to take place on Super Tuesday -- the first Tuesday in March -- and bind the delegates to the national convention based on the results. The latter has been a sticking point for detractors during consideration of similar legislation stretching back to 2023.

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Noteworthy: While some initial Republican opponents on the Election Committee spoke in favor of the legislation on the House floor, that may or may not carry weight with the remainder of the chamber on the future vote on passage. These presidential primary bills have passed the Missouri House in the past only to be stymied once they got to the state Senate. The battle, then, may be less intra-chamber than inter-chamber as the 2026 session in Jefferson City draws to a close. 




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Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Super Tuesday presidential primary bill gets the green light from second Missouri House committee

Late last week, the Missouri House Rules (Legislative) Committee voted 8-4 in favor of legislation restoring a presidential primary election in the Show-Me state. That measure, HB 2387/2480, was subsequently reported out of that committee at the end of March with a "do pass" recommendation from the panel. 

This bill would not only reestablish a state-run presidential primary in Missouri, but would also schedule the election for Super Tuesday and legally bind the allocation and selection of delegates to the national convention based on the results of the primary. 

The second committee should clear the bill for consideration by the full Missouri House (if the body opts to bring it up).

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Noteworthy: Interestingly, the Rules Committee vote on HB 2387/2480 was largely along party lines. Eight of the nine Republicans on the panel voted in favor while the three Democrats were joined by the committee's Republican vice chair in opposition. That is a partisan reversal of sorts as all three Democrats present for the Elections Committee vote earlier in the month supported the amended measure. One representative, Rep. Keri Ingle (D-35th, Lee's Summit), even flipped from supporting the amended version in Elections to voting against in Rules. The bill was not further amended in Rules. The second panel passed the same version that made it out of Elections.




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Thursday, March 5, 2026

Missouri House Elections Committee reports amended Super Tuesday primary bill "do pass"

The story of the 2026 legislative session in Jefferson City thus far has been one of obstacles to legislation intended to restore the Show-Me state's presidential primary. Two broad elections bills, one in the House and one in the Senate, saw provisions to reestablish the presidential primary and schedule the election for Super Tuesday removed at the committee stage. Another measure calling for a slightly later March presidential primary sits idle in the upper chamber. 

But the remaining two presidential primary bills in the House -- HB 2387 and HB 2480 -- have been merged in executive session of the House Elections Committee and reported out with a "do pass" recommendation. Additionally, during that March 3 hearing, the committee adopted an amended version of the legislation, dropping sections in the introduced bill pertaining to no-excuse absentee voting in the primary and adding language binding national convention delegates based on the results of the primary. 

The latter change was spurred by feedback the bill's sponsor on the committee got during a February 3 hearing for the bill. It was in that early February hearing where some familiar themes were once again raised by opponents of the primary. In fact, much of the opposition echoed comments from an earlier hearing for the omnibus House elections bill that ended with the presidential primary section being stripped from the legislation.

HB 2387/2480 passed the House Elections Committee as amended by a 10-2 vote in favor.

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Noteworthy: While the adopted committee substitute for HB 2387/2480 addressed the binding concerns of some opponents, it did not also include one of their other sticking points that has emerged not only in 2026 but in past sessions in Missouri: closing the open primary system to registered members of a party. But the bill that now moves on to the House Rules Committee for consideration does include language allocating national convention delegates on a proportional basis and binding those delegates based on the primary results for through the first ballot vote at the national convention. 

Update (4/7/26): During the amendment phase for HB 2387/2480 on the House floor, Ranking Minority member Rep. LaKeySha Bosley (D-79th, St. Louis), noted that Democrats' opposition to the bill was due to an oversight, confusing it with other elections-related legislation. In further comments on the floor, the representative backed the bill and urged the House to support the measure.




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Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Another one bites the dust: Missouri Senate bill stripped of provision to reestablish a presidential primary

Same story, different chamber. 

Last week, a sprawling elections bill passed the Missouri state House Elections Committee, but saw a provision reestablishing a presidential primary in the Show-Me state and scheduling the election for Super Tuesday stripped out in the process. 

Later on in the week, the Senate Local Government, Elections and Pensions Committee held a hearing on a similar legislation on its side of the capitol. And then the same thing happened in the upper chamber this week that happened to the House version a week ago: A substitute version of the bill passed the committee but without the presidential primary measure included.

Granted, comments from the Senate bill's sponsor in the initial hearing did not exactly bode well for the presidential primary section of the legislation. Sen. Sandy Crawford (R-28th, Buffalo), via Sarah Kellogg at St. Louis Public Radio:
"Crawford said that she wasn’t a fan of reinstating the primary, but that a lot of people want it back.

"'One of the things that I did hear that I thought was legitimate, if we don't have the presidential preferential primary, there's no way for military overseas to have any kind of a voice in the process,' Crawford said."
This notion of military personnel being disenfranchised by caucuses is not a new one in the on-again, off-again presidential primary dialog in the Missouri General Assembly. Rep. Rudy Veit (R-59th, Wardsville), who has a primary bill of his own still active on the House side, has raised it with regularity in the time since the Missouri presidential primary was eliminated in 2022.

However, once again, those concerns took a back seat to the price tag associated with the presidential primary. As Kellogg reported on the recent committee hearing on SB 836:
"Sen. Jamie Burger (R-27th, Benton), expressed concern over paying to conduct the presidential primary, especially with the necessity of a tighter state budget."
And those cost issues are often tied up with others in the context of these discussions, from the binding of national convention delegates to Missouri's open primary. 

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Noteworthy: At the start of the 2026 session in Jefferson City there were five bills that had presidential primary provisions appended to them. Two of those bills, one in the state House and another very similar to it in the state Senate, have moved out of committee but without the sections devoted to bringing the presidential primary back in the Show-Me state. The sponsor on the House side has said that she will try to add the primary back to the legislation on the floor via amendment. Yet, it is not clear that the Senate sponsor will follow that path in the upper chamber. 

Still, there are three other bills that remain active, two in the state House and one other in the state Senate.




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Wednesday, January 28, 2026

"House committee kills plan to reinstate Missouri presidential primary"


"The push to reinstate Missouri’s presidential primary suffered a defeat Tuesday when the House Elections Committee voted to remove it from a wide-ranging elections bill.

"On a voice vote, the committee removed the provision from the bill. The measure also extends the period for 'no-excuse absentee' voting from two to four weeks.

"The committee then voted 13-1, with two abstentions, to send the bill to the full House for debate.

"The primary is unpopular with well-organized groups who prefer the caucus system traditionally used to select Missouri’s delegates to presidential nominating conventions, said the bill’s sponsor, state Rep. Peggy McGaugh, a Republican from Carrollton."


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Noteworthy: Mark one presidential primary bill off the list in Missouri. Four remain active in the 2026 legislative session, two in the House and two others in the state Senate. The dispute has been a consistent one, post-2022, when the presidential primary was nixed in an omnibus elections bill that passed in the waning hours of the legislature's term that year. It boils down to something that Keller later picked up on in his synopsis of the committee's actions during its executive session on the bill on January 27:
"A caucus is easier to control than the primary, she said. Even though Missouri’s primary is just a popularity contest — no delegates are pledged based on the result — opponents don’t want evidence they are not the majority of their party’s voters, she [bill sponsor, McGaugh] said."
But here's the thing: The premise that no delegates are bound, that, in turn, the primary is a beauty contest and, as a result, that the state should not fund the election is built on the thinnest reasoning. Yet, it keeps coming up session after session in Jefferson City when these primary bills face scrutiny in committee (or on the floor). In fact, the sponsor of the controversial 2022 elections bill that eliminated the presidential primary, Rep. John Simmons (R-109th, Washington), raised it in the committee hearing for McGaugh's HB 1871 two weeks ago:
"Why are we having a presidential primary when we aren't binding the electors [delegates] and the parties are still running a caucus and technically deciding electors there and we the taxpayers are paying $10m for a show election that doesn't actually have legal meaning to it." 
Never mind that the delegates were bound based on the results of the primary when it was still codified in state law (and the caucuses in 2024 when it was not). But that was a function of the parties' rules -- at both the state and national levels -- defining the nature of the binding and not the state, based on state law. 

Missouri Republicans, those in the legislature most firmly opposed to the return of the state-funded primary anyway, seem to have trust issues with the state party. The party rules have consistently bound delegates. However, those same rules -- rules that are very much consistent with those in other states in the national Republican process -- 1) allow for the release of delegates bound to candidates who have dropped out of the race for the nomination and 2) allow delegates aligned with one candidate to be selected and bound to another candidate (again, based on the primary or caucus results). Those Show-Me state Republicans in opposition to the primary want a legal remedy to those outs that Republican delegates have, to lock them into the binding at the convention no matter what.

That is what keeps killing these bills in Missouri. And HB 1871 is yet another casualty. 

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And just as a postscript, it should be noted that when McGaugh is talking about "control" she is noting control of the presidential primary (or caucus) electorate. This came up in hearing as well, but there are a number of legislative Republicans in the Show-Me state who are not keen on the open primary there. Caucuses allow the Republican Party in Missouri to restrict the electorate to Republicans only, shielding the election from the potential participation of Democrats. 


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Thursday, December 18, 2025

Missouri House again tees up host of bills to resurrect the defunct Show-Me state presidential primary

Missouri state Rep. Rudy Veit (R-59th, Wardsville) is at it again.

After unsuccessfully lobbying in 2023 and 2025 for the presidential primary in the Show-Me state to be reinstated after it was eliminated by an omnibus elections bill in 2022, Veit is back with another attempt in 2026. And like its 2025 predecessor, HB 2480 would reestablish the state-run presidential preference election and schedule it for the first Tuesday in March, Super Tuesday.

Veit, however, was not the first to the presidential primary (reinstatement) party in the lead up to the 2026 state legislative session in Jefferson City. Yes, there is legislation that has been pre-filed in the state Senate. But there were two other bills proposed in the lower chamber before Veit got there. Both HB 1871 and HB 2387 have sponsors who have also made past attempts at reviving the presidential primary and both bills mirror the Super Tuesday date Veit's version. Yet, each differs in the other provisions layered into them. Rep. Peggy McGaugh's (R-7th, Carrollton) HB 1871 brings the presidential primary back but also touches on absentee voting, voter ID, the casting provisional ballots and the testing of election equipment in a bill that closely resembles one of the two bills on the Senate side. And Rep. Brad Banderman's (R-119th, St. Clair) HB 2387 looks a lot like Veit's bill, although both differ in how widely each opens the in-person absentee voting window. 

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Noteworthy: Counting the two presidential primary bills in the state Senate, there are now five total bills that will be active during the 2026 legislative session in Missouri. And that is just to start. More could come once business is gaveled in next month. Regardless, that is a number of legislative vehicles that could ultimately resurrect the presidential primary in the Show-Me state. 

Granted, that shotgun method of multiple bills has not proven successful in the time since the Missouri legislature eliminated the state-run presidential primary option in 2022. The five bills proposed in 2023 all failed. The five presidential primary-related bills in 2024 also failed to move. Only Veit's 2025 measure -- one of four total bills during the last session -- managed to pass the chamber in which it was introduced. But it did not move out of committee in the upper chamber in the waning moments of the session. 

Having a number of options, it seems, does not guarantee success. But in 2026, there will again be a number of options before legislators in Jefferson City to bring back a presidential primary to Missouri.


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Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Missouri Senate bills prefiled to reinstate presidential primary

If at first you don't succeed, try, try again. 

Missouri state Senator David Gregory (R-15th, St. Louis) has prefiled legislation -- SB 1139 -- in the upper chamber to reestablish the presidential primary election in the Show-Me state. The bill is exactly the same as the legislation the senator filed in February 2025 to bring back the primary that was eliminated by an act of the legislature in 2022. 

Here is an edited FHQ summary of the early 2025 legislation:
[L]egislation has also been introduced in the Missouri state Senate to bring back the state-funded presidential preference election eliminated by the General Assembly in 2022. SB 670, introduced by Senator David Gregory (R-15th, St. Louis), would basically reset conditions to where they were with respect to the parameters of the presidential primary prior to 2022. That is to say that the primary election would revert to a position on the presidential primary calendar following Super Tuesday. 

However, Gregory's SB 670 would schedule the presidential preference election for the second Tuesday in March as opposed to the second Tuesday after the first Monday in March as was the case prior to 2022. 
That is a small difference and would not have any impact on the positioning of any Missouri presidential primary reinstated under this bill for 2028. 

Efforts to reestablish the primary prior to this latest bill have fallen short since 2022, often victims of the logistics of scheduling the presidential primary either concurrent with or in addition to primaries for other offices. Several possible proposed dates have emerged because of that: Super Tuesday, the week after Super Tuesday or the first Tuesday in April (alongside local primaries). None of them have passed muster with a majority of both the Missouri House and Senate. 

Perhaps 2026 will be the year.

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Noteworthy: Gregory's is not the only active legislation in the upper chamber dealing with the reinstatement of a presidential primary election in the Show-Me state. In fact, his was not even the first presidential primary legislation to be pre-filed in the state Senate. That honor belonged to Sen. Sandy Crawford (R-28th, Buffalo), who pre-filed SB 836 on December 1. 

Her bill would not only bring back the presidential primary but it would schedule the election for Super Tuesday, the first Tuesday in March. However, that is but one facet of what is a minibus elections bill touching on absentee voting, voter ID, the casting provisional ballots and the testing of election equipment. 



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Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Missouri House passes Super Tuesday primary bill

The Missouri House on Monday, April 14 passed HB 126, a measure that would reestablish a state-run presidential primary in the Show-Me state and schedule the election for Super Tuesday. 43 Republicans from the majority, including four of five from leadership, joined all but one Democrat present (42 of 43) in voting in favor of the bill. The majority of Republicans -- 64 in total -- voted against HB 126.

Moving forward there is both a short term prognosis for the legislation but some longer term implications involved. For starters, HB 126 was merged with HB 367 at the committee stage. Together the combined bill not only restored the presidential primary but it also expanded the window for early voting from two to six weeks. That expansion remains in the final bill passed on Monday by the Missouri House. In discussions with the lead sponsor of similar legislation in the state Senate, however, the expanded early voting window will ultimately be scratched, squaring the two visions of the legislation across chambers and, perhaps, easing the path of HB 126 in the upper chamber. Yet, that would likely require a similar coalition of some majority Republicans banding together with all or most of the Senate Democrats. 

Over a longer time horizon, however, there are some additional roadblocks to Missouri becoming a presidential primary state (rather than a caucus and/or party-run primary state) again in 2028. HB 126 does not include any appropriation for the presidential primary election. That was left to future legislatures that may or may not be as open to the election itself and/or the fiscal tag required to implement it. Even if HB 126 passes the state Senate and is subsequently signed into law, there still may not be a presidential primary in Missouri for 2028 and beyond. 

The set up would be similar to that which existed in neighboring Kansas for years. The Sunflower state had a presidential primary on the books for two decades before it was eliminated for 2016. But Kansas legislatures during that period routinely refused to fund the election and had to go through the process of "canceling" it every four years


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Final vote on HB 126: 85 in favor, 64 opposed, 2 present (one from each party)

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Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Missouri House tees up final passage on Super Tuesday presidential primary bill

The Missouri House on Monday, March 31 put the final touches on legislation to reinstate a state-run presidential primary in the Show-Me state. HB 126 would set the primary election for the first Tuesday in March -- one week earlier than the primary had been in presidential cycles of the recent past -- and widen the in-person absentee voting window.

The floor amendments added during the "perfection" session on Monday clear the way for a third reading and final passage of the measure in the state House. This is as deep into the legislative process that a bill has moved since a similar effort was defeated on the floor of the House in April 2023. None of the primary reinstatement legislation introduced during the 2024 session moved beyond the committee stage. 

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Wednesday, February 26, 2025

Missouri House presidential primary bills merged, deemed "do pass" in committee

Two bills -- HB 126 and HB 367 -- pertaining to the reinstatement of the presidential primary in Missouri got an initial green light in the state House Elections Committee on Tuesday, February 25. 

Functionally, the two bills have been merged. The language from Rep. Banderman's HB 367, reestablishing a presidential primary in Missouri, scheduling the contest for Super Tuesday and broadening no-excuse in-person absentee voting was presented as a committee substitute to Rep. Veit's HB 126. Veit will now be the sponsor of the vehicle as it continues to wind through the legislative process. 

In executive session on Tuesday, the House Elections Committee voted "do pass" on the newly merged bills by a 7-4 tally. All Democrats in attendance (3) supported the measure while committee Republicans were evenly split.

The committee's action removes one scheduling option from the table: the one that sought to exactly replicate the parameters around the Missouri presidential primary as it existed prior to being eliminated in 2022. Although the first Tuesday after the first Monday in March option is now gone, there remains a Senate version that would revive the presidential primary in the Show-Me state and place it on the second Tuesday in March. 


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Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Alternate Missouri Senate bill would reestablish presidential primary and schedule for April

The fourth of four bills currently before the Missouri General Assembly in its 2025 state legislative session would also bring back the presidential primary nixed in 2022 but schedule the election for yet another -- a fourth -- distinct date on the calendar. 

SB 417, introduced by Senator Jill Carter (R-32nd, Jaspar/Newton), resurrects ideas first brought forth in discussions over similar legislation in 2023. Namely, the objective, then as now, would be to consolidate the presidential preference primary with the general election for municipal offices on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in April. Only, the 2025 version contains a twist. 

The catch to conducting concurrent presidential primaries with a general election for municipal offices is an administrative one. The consolidation would require election administrators to simultaneously print both partisan primary ballots and effectively nonpartisan general election ballots as one across all municipalities (and the offices contained therein) together. It was that issue that played at least some role in derailing the push to reinstate the presidential primary in the Show-Me state before 2024: Administrators balked at the potential complexity introduced into the process. 

However, there is a fix to that snag in Carter's SB 417. The senator would have all presidential candidates regardless of party listed on the ballot for the presidential primary/municipal general election. There would be no Democratic ballot, no Republican ballot, no ballot for those wishing to simply vote in municipal elections. Instead, everything would be on one ballot that all Missouri voters turning out in early April would receive. Results would then be delivered to state party chairs who would in turn allocate delegate slots to candidates identified with the respective parties. 

Left unspecified is how the uncommitted line (or lines) on the ballot would be treated. If there is merely one uncommitted option, then it could serve as a catch-all that is difficult to parse out along partisan lines for the purposes of allocation. That problem could potentially be solved by placing an uncommitted (Democratic) line in addition to an uncommitted (Republican) option on the ballot. But it is not clear in Carter's legislation which is the prescribed protocol. 

So, one leftover administrative issue is addressed, but in so doing, a possible unintended consequence is introduced. 


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Monday, February 17, 2025

On the Missouri Senate side, bill would schedule a reinstated presidential primary in March

There are two bills currently in the Missouri state House to reinstate a presidential primary in the Show-Me state, but there is also action on the matter in the upper chamber in Jefferson City. 

In fact, legislation has also been introduced in the Missouri state Senate to bring back the state-funded presidential preference election eliminated by the General Assembly in 2022. One measure, SB 670 introduced by Senator David Gregory (R-15th, St. Louis), is more in line with HB 126 which would basically reset conditions to where they were with respect to the parameters of the presidential primary prior to 2022. That is to say that the primary election would revert to a position on the presidential primary calendar following Super Tuesday. 

But the two are not identical. The House version replicates the pre-2022 language in state law. In it, the primary would fall on the second Tuesday after the first Monday in March. However, Gregory's SB 670 strips out the latter portion and simply schedules the presidential preference election for the second Tuesday in March. In most years, including 2028, there is no difference between the two: the second Tuesday after the first Monday in March is often the second Tuesday in March. 

The exception is when March begins on a Tuesday. When March 1 falls on a Tuesday, then the second Tuesday in March is March 8. But the second Tuesday after the first Monday in March is not until March 15. It is the same reason it appears as if the Missouri presidential primary moved up a week from 2016 to 2020. In the former year, March began on a Tuesday. 

In the grand scheme of things, none of this is all that consequential. Yet, it is meaningful that none of the three Missouri bills discussed in this space thus far in 2025 are aligned on what the date of any reinstated presidential primary would be. And that is part of what derailed the 2023 efforts to revive the presidential primary in the Show-Me state. 


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Friday, February 14, 2025

From Missouri, a competing bill to restore the Show-Me state presidential primary

Earlier this week, FHQ raised legislation introduced in Missouri that aims to reestablish the presidential primary formally nixed in 2022. That bill envisions a Super Tuesday primary in early March. But it is not the only measure seeking to reinstate the presidential preference election in the Show-Me state. 

A similar state House bill -- HB 126 -- would also bring back the state-funded presidential primary, but the legislation from Rep. Rudy Veit (R-59th, Wardsville) would schedule the election for the second Tuesday after the first Monday in March. Veit's legislation would turn back the clock, reestablishing the parameters under which the state's presidential primary was conducted before it was eliminated. There would be no Super Tuesday and no expansion of absentee voting as is the case in the competing House bill.

Veit filed similar legislation in late 2022 ahead of the 2023 legislative session in Jefferson City. It and other bills met roadblocks along the way in the legislative process and ultimately amounted to nothing.


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Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Super Tuesday bill would reinstate Missouri presidential primary

Efforts have once again been revived in Missouri to rescue the Show-Me state's presidential primary after it was eliminated during the 2022 General Assembly session. Neither legislation filed in 2023 nor 2024 was successful in reinstating the state-funded option for the 2024 cycle. 

But work has started early in Jefferson City with 2028 in mind. One such bill, HB 367 from Rep. Brad Banderman (R-119th, St. Clair), would not only bring the presidential primary election back as a standalone contest, but would schedule the election for the first Tuesday in March, Super Tuesday. Unlike the other bills put forth, Banderman's legislation would also expand the window for early in-person absentee voting from two to six weeks. 


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Thursday, March 23, 2023

Invisible Primary: Visible -- The Republican Race is Over?

Thoughts on the invisible primary and links to the goings on of the moment as 2024 approaches...

The indictment of a former president is something new in American politics. Not in modern American politics, but in American politics, period. And that says nothing about how an indictment (or multiple indictments) would impact a former president seeking his party's presidential nomination for a third time. We do not have a clear understanding yet as to how any of that will impact the race. But that has not stopped folks from racing to conclusions or hypothesizing about the the effects without actually waiting for the hypothesis to be even minimally tested.

Count Tina Ngyuen from Puck News among them.

Look, FHQ noted earlier this week that "it's Trump's until it's not," but that is not anything new. The majority of invisible primary signals have been pointing in that direction for some time if not all along, but with the caveat that the former president's position in 2023 is not like it was in 2019 when Trump could lean on the advantages of incumbency. That is the story of the 2024 invisible primary on the Republican side: assessing where Trump's bid stands between the two poles of his previous two runs. 

Any apparent momentum Trump has enjoyed in 2023, after the midterms were a drag on the former president at the tail end of 2022, buoys the notions that 1) things have improved for Trump in the near term and 2) that nudges him closer to his 2019 position than to where he was in 2015. Part of what buttresses the improved outlook for Trump 2024 (at least with respect to the Republican nomination process) is that his poll position had improved and was improving before "indictment watch" really heated up this week. And the fact that elite Republicans are rallying to the former president as formal criminal charges loom may or may not trickle down and resonate at the rank and file level among potential Republican primary voters (who will not start voting on the nomination for another nine months or so). 

But first let's see and maybe test that again over time. Trump may win the 2024 Republican nomination, but that does not mean that a dynamic process does not lay stretched out before us. As has been said, the fun is in the journey. It may not exactly be fun, but the process very definitely has an impact on, if not the outcome of the nomination race, then how the party transitions to the general election. That is meaningful.


...
Nevertheless, they persisted. Trump's position may have improved, but the other candidates and prospective candidates are still, well, acting like candidates and not like the race is over. In fact, the broader DeSantis 2024 effort scored a bit of a coup in the staff primary a day ago when an aligned super PAC, Never Back Down, brought former Ted Cruz campaign manager, Jeff Roe, on board. This is no small thing. Yes, the Roe-led effort to help boost Cruz to the 2016 Republican presidential nomination fell short, but it also won some significant victories along the way. And it probably punched above its weight by out-hustling Trump in caucus states and in exploiting the delegate selection process as well. 

What is different now is that, while running a tight ship on the rules end in 2016 may prove a useful feather in the cap of the broader DeSantis presidential effort, Trump's 2024 team is more savvy than it was in 2015-16. State Republican parties are also littered with Trump-supportive if not Trump-aligned operatives. And the Republican rules are different in 2024 than they were in 2016. Exploiting the delegate selection process may be more difficult this time.


...
If the support from outside of Jefferson City is any indication, then it looks like Missouri might get its presidential primary back for 2024. But the election was eliminated last year by the state legislature for a reason, and despite support from both the Missouri Democratic and Republican parties, getting the presidential primary reinstated through the state legislature may be easier said than done. 



...
On this date...
...in 1976, Jimmy Carter bested George Wallace in the North Carolina primary, winning a majority of the vote and handing the Alabama governor a second loss in a southern state he had won in 1972. Also in the Tar Heel state that day, Ronald Reagan notched his first primary victory of the cycle, edging out President Ford.

...in 2015, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) entered the Republican presidential nomination race.

...in 2020, both Alaska (Democrats) and Rhode Island delayed delegate selection events due to the coronavirus pandemic.


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Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Committee Hearing Demonstrates Broad Support for Effort to Reestablish Missouri Presidential Primary

The push to reinstate the Missouri presidential preference primary finally got its day before committee on Wednesday, March 22. The House Special Committee on Public Policy heard testimony on two identical bills to put back in statute code that was eliminated as part of omnibus elections legislation that passed the General Assembly and was signed into law in 2022. 

A few things quickly became clear in the course of the hearing. First, but for one opponent and a handful of informational witnesses, everyone in a long list of those providing comments -- from voters to state and county party chairs to statewide and local elections officials to union lobbyists -- was in favor of the move. Rep. Rudy Veit (R-59th, Cole), the sponsor of one of the bills (HB 347) leaned heavily into the idea of caucuses disenfranchising military and government personnel (fire, police, etc.) relative to the options available in a state-run primary election. The sponsor of the other bill (HB 267), Rep. Cyndi Buchheit-Courtway (R-115th, Jefferson) mentioned that she got into politics with a simple slogan, "fighting for our voices to be heard," an idea she said was violated with no presidential primary. 

Notably, the leadership of both state parties -- Chair Nick Myers and Vice Chair Leann Green of the Missouri Republican Party and newly elected Missouri Democratic Party Chair Russ Carnahan -- supported the effort. Carnahan went so far as to say that hurting voters' ability to participate in the presidential nomination process would further erode perceptions about the legitimacy of elections. 

Second, the costs of such an election -- a stand-alone March presidential primary -- were repeatedly raised. Rep. Veit and others cited the estimated $10 million price tag, but shrugged it off, saying it was the price of democracy. Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft (R) in his testimony noted that the cost would not come out of one year of the budget but be spread across four. 

And while Ashcroft did not speak for or against the legislation, he urged lawmakers to "pick one," caucuses or a primary. But he also made a point, talking about the presidential primary, to say that he was "philosophically" against holding a vote that does not matter. The secretary did not mean that the March election would fall too late in the calendar. Rather, he wrongly suggested that the primary has no bearing on either delegate allocation or selection in Missouri; that delegates are not bound. 

[FHQ aside: Again, this is wrong. It is an impression that seems to have been forged during the 2012 cycle when Missouri lawmakers could not find a way to move or then cancel a primary that the Missouri Republican Party (who had the active nomination race that cycle) opted out of. The primary still occurred on the state's dime, but caucuses were where delegates were selected (and though unbound were largely committed to particular candidates). Missouri Republicans, however, did not operate in that manner during the last competitive cycle in 2016 (nor 2020 for that matter). The party allocated delegates based on the primary because RNC rules during that cycle mandated it and further backed up that binding in all states at the national convention.

Ashcroft also projects past Republican issues in Missouri onto Show-Me state Democrats, who do not and have not had those same problems as state Republicans because the process is more regulated at the national party level. But those problems have already been dealt with by the RNC.]

Finally, another theme that may end up affecting this legislation down the line was the idea of consolidating primaries. Elections officials in attendance and testifying described the difficulty of pulling off one presidential primary election in March only to have to turn around and do it all over again in April with nonpartisan local elections. But the same election administrators were cool to the notion of combining a partisan election with a nonpartisan election when it came up because of the impact it would have on correctly generating and distributing many different versions of a ballot to voters. 

But if there is no state law requiring a primary, then none of this matters anyway. A state law would, of course, require elections officials, regardless of the burdens, to implement whatever state law calls for. And although a consolidated election may increase some headaches for elections officials across Missouri, it would both tamp down on the costs borne by the state and maximize turnout.

No votes were taken on either HB 267 or HB 347 in committee on Wednesday, but the hearing showcased some of the common tradeoffs involved in the presidential nomination process. 


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Tuesday, February 7, 2023

Senate Companion Introduced to Reestablish Missouri Presidential Primary

The effort to reestablish the Missouri presidential primary continues. 

No, there has not been any movement on any of the three identical bills in the Show-Me state House to resurrect the presidential primary that was cancelled in 2022. However, now there is a Senate companion to one of those prior bills. 






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This legislation has been added to FHQ's updated 2024 presidential primary calendar. 


Related:


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Thursday, January 12, 2023

Identical Third Bill Would Reestablish Missouri's Presidential Primary

There may or may not be enough support across both the Missouri state House and Senate to pass legislation to bring back the presidential primary in the Show-Me state, but there are now three separate and identical bills that seek to do that. 






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This legislation has been added to the updated 2024 presidential primary calendar. 


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