Wednesday, October 28, 2009

State of the Race: Virginia Governor (10/28/09)

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FHQ is going to go with a Twitter-like, quickie post of the events of the day in both Virginia and New Jersey.

If the worst thing that can be said about your campaign is that complacency may set in, you're in pretty good shape. --Giuliani on McDonnell

That pretty much sums it up in Virginia. The day after Obama rallied with Deeds, the talk from the Republicans concerned complacency. Ouch!

2009 Virginia Gubernatorial Race Polling
Poll
Date
Margin of Error
Sample
Deeds
McDonnell
Undecided
Rasmussen
Oct. 27, 2009
+/- 3%
1000 likely voters
41
54
4
Virginia Commonwealth [pdf]
Oct. 21-25, 2009
+/- 4.9%
625 likely voters
33
51
15

VCU's poll is its first in the race. The undecideds are higher than would be expected, but McDonnell's total seems about right.

That 33% for Deeds is off, but it wasn't the most recent poll and didn't affect the averages that much.

This Rasmussen poll is akin to the PPP survey a day ago. This one's gone from "feeling" like a 52-45 race recently to a 55-44 race now.

FHQ's averages didn't shift that much. McDonnell held steady and Deeds shifted downward slightly. We'll see what tomorrow brings.

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Recent Posts:
CNN 2012 GOP Primary Poll: Huckabee Pulls in Almost a Third of Support

State of the Race: New Jersey Governor (10/27/09)

State of the Race: Virginia Governor (10/27/09)

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