tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post8622803984103798539..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: How Big Was McCain's Bounce?Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-1653450959361021322008-09-18T10:49:00.000-04:002008-09-18T10:49:00.000-04:00Here's that RCP link from Rob.Rob,It is too early ...<A HREF="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html" REL="nofollow">Here's that RCP link from Rob</A>.<BR/><BR/>Rob,<BR/>It <I>is</I> too early to see if the regression to the mean that we've seen in the national polls this week has extended to the states. But I'll assess that more fully next week. I'll look at the changes we will have seen from last weekend to next Friday. That may not give us the clearest picture, but it'll be the best we'll able to do before debate season kicks off and potentially disrupts the equilibrium again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-39509199319820066192008-09-18T09:43:00.000-04:002008-09-18T09:43:00.000-04:00Looks like the bounce is over, at least nationally...Looks like the bounce is over, at least nationally. I think it may be a little early to see how things are settling out in the states. The financial situation appears to be taking its toll on McCain-Palin. I expect that to start showing up in the Rust-Belt states next week that tilted to McCain with the Palin effect.<BR/><BR/>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html<BR/><BR/>Scott, your assessment of sticking with the running game by Obama rather than the razzle-dazzle of McCain appears to be paying off for the time being. In a close race, though, it will be the external factors that could affect the ultimate outcome.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.com