tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post7969560033852762240..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: Iowa Will Not Go Gentle into That Good Night for 2024Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-55683407086679001542021-02-01T13:58:39.135-05:002021-02-01T13:58:39.135-05:00There's a parallel order-of-battle in both par...There's a parallel order-of-battle in both parties for the 2024 primaries. In both cases, you have a nationally dominant frontrunner, who is not as dominant in the early states, especially Iowa and New Hampshire.<br /><br />Bluntly, both Trump and either Biden or Harris (assuming no Biden vs HArris) would benefit from a more nationalized race structure, and less emphasis on IA/NH where a non-frontrunner can emerge as a credible challenger. If you had any kind of national contest, the frontrunners would quickly steamroll the one-percenter longshots. <br /><br />The only real path anyone but Trump, Biden or Harris has to a nomination in 2024 is the Jimmy Carter/Hamilton Jordan path, hoping to turn Iowa/NH shoe leather into an upset win and ride a wave of momentum to the nomination. <br /><br />(Notice that this hasn't really happened since 1976). John Bragghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02572341050529523488noreply@blogger.com