tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post5790718740497360957..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: The Electoral College Map (8/10/08)Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-83900065539254224122008-08-11T08:33:00.000-04:002008-08-11T08:33:00.000-04:00Scott,I haven't forgotten about addressing that el...Scott,<BR/>I haven't forgotten about addressing that electoral vote issue. I played around with a few things the other week and nothing really looked good. Last week I got caught up preparing for this semester's upcoming classes and got sidetracked. However, I'll look at a few things this week and see if I can put an alternate version in Wednesday's post.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-62420595395098109362008-08-11T08:28:00.000-04:002008-08-11T08:28:00.000-04:00Rob, Obama is hitting McCain hard on the Yucca Mou...Rob, <BR/>Obama is hitting McCain hard on the Yucca Mountain issue in a <A HREF="http://thepage.time.com/2008/08/09/obama-skewers-mccain-in-nevada-tv-spot/" REL="nofollow">new Nevada-based ad</A>. They are mindful of the issue I'd say. The Obama folks continue to pick and choose their spots...just like during primary season.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-37683909304969718092008-08-10T19:19:00.000-04:002008-08-10T19:19:00.000-04:00Or he picks Romney and makes a run at Michigan. Hm...Or he picks Romney and makes a run at Michigan. Hmm...the pro-choice guy or the Mormon? Maybe <I>that</I>'s why Obama is putting money into Georgia...Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14690577323454357276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-75957088957983411402008-08-10T18:45:00.000-04:002008-08-10T18:45:00.000-04:00Scott,Good points. It looks to me like McCain is t...Scott,<BR/><BR/>Good points. It looks to me like McCain is throwing away NV. He may be making a play for PA if he nominates Tom Ridge as his VP. Of course, there may be a run on duct tape by the Obama campaign.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-32096006711556539362008-08-10T17:27:00.000-04:002008-08-10T17:27:00.000-04:00Josh--I'd still like to see the Electoral College ...Josh--I'd still like to see the Electoral College Spectrum accompanied by a number that indicates <I>exactly</I> where the 270 falls. By my count, Obama gets 273 if he wins PA and everything on his side of that. That must mean McCain wins 286 if he wins PA and everything on <I>his</I> side. <BR/><BR/>Knowing those numbers makes it much easier to evaluate scenarios. For example, McCain could trade Michigan for Pennsylvania and still win. In fact, he could also throw away Nevada under that scenario. But trading Pennsylvania for New Hampshire only puts him in a tie, which would be messy, but ends up with an Obama win. <BR/><BR/>From there, it makes it easier to evaluate Robert's comment. McCain really doesn't need Nevada. If McCain wins PA or MI, he probably doesn't need NV. If he doesn't win either, NV probably won't do him any good. The one scenario which is even remotely plausible in which NV is crucial is if McCain wins CO, and loses PA, MI, and NH. Then he needs NV. But that's really it. So if it helps him nationally (and there are some interesting <A HREF="http://www.gallup.com/poll/109342/Nuclear-Power-Less-Popular-Than-Other-Energy-Strategies.aspx" REL="nofollow">recent Gallup numbers</A> that shine some light on that), then it's worth it to him to throw away Nevada.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14690577323454357276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-13289554753487834112008-08-10T16:58:00.000-04:002008-08-10T16:58:00.000-04:00We've talked about national issues and local issue...We've talked about national issues and local issues. If McCain wants to pick up Nevada, he is going to need to moderate his views on nuclear power. With 45 new nuclear plants to come on stream from a McCain administration, the waste load for Yucca Mountain is bound to increase.<BR/><BR/>At the risk of sounding like a broken record, I note that both Florida senators, one R and one D, are opposed to offshore drilling.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.com