tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post4004062198277802616..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: FHQ vs. The Talking HeadsJosh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-49527974935674752762008-11-03T10:17:00.000-05:002008-11-03T10:17:00.000-05:00Thanks Rob.I'll add that one to the list above.And...Thanks Rob.<BR/><BR/>I'll add that one to the list above.<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2008103001" REL="nofollow">And here's the link to Sabato's map</A>.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-50532663563299449762008-11-03T10:13:00.000-05:002008-11-03T10:13:00.000-05:00Larry Sabato has it at 364 (FHQ map plus NC and MO...Larry Sabato has it at 364 (FHQ map plus NC and MO)<BR/><BR/>http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/article.php?id=LJS2008103001Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-61004851151414028902008-11-02T23:16:00.000-05:002008-11-02T23:16:00.000-05:00Donna Brazile: FHQ map + Missouri, Indiana, and No...Donna Brazile: <BR/><BR/>FHQ map + Missouri, Indiana, and North Carolina but minus Florida and Nevada... Makes more sense than Obama losing New Mexico.wwmivhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02882741471114654816noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-14630705865545821342008-11-02T21:29:00.000-05:002008-11-02T21:29:00.000-05:00I don't know how to interpret the Wildcards. Does...I don't know how to interpret the Wildcards. Does that mean, "I think this will happen?" or "I think this could happen?"<BR/><BR/>If it is the former, you can back out everything past the partisan line on the Spectrum. Everything up to Colorado gets Obama to 264. Then assume that Huffington is factoring in a massive African American turnout that would help most in Southern and Border states.<BR/><BR/>Now add in Virginia (13), North Carolina (15), Georgia (15) and Missouri (11) and that gets Obama to 318. But that would look really strange without Florida, Nevada and Ohio.<BR/><BR/>If you assume that "It could happen" is the interpretation of wildcard, then that make things muc easier.<BR/><BR/>I've got to say, I had to look at the Spectrum for a while to come up with that one.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-87873951017575600232008-11-02T21:07:00.000-05:002008-11-02T21:07:00.000-05:00And wait a second, Huffington says Obama wins Geor...And wait a second, Huffington says Obama wins Georgia. So she must have another way of reaching 311.<BR/><BR/>I know this blog is about the presidential race but I must mention that some of these guys have some pretty outlandish other predictions - Barkley getting only 2% is the most bizarre.<BR/><BR/>And why does Barnes get an extra tiebreak?Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-85525695991538306142008-11-02T21:01:00.000-05:002008-11-02T21:01:00.000-05:00Nice to see Bill Maher optimistic again after I te...Nice to see Bill Maher optimistic again after I temporarily stopped watching his show because he kept saying that the Bradley Effect would cost Obama six points or so. One of the many things that me and Maher disagree on, but I'm glad he seems to have come around.<BR/><BR/>The only predictions that seem a bit hard for me to believe are Brazile's (I've found a few more combinations that work out to 343 but they're somewhat odd), Cillizza's (Obama probably won't win NE-2 without Florida), Clift's (Obama winning NH but not NC?) and the two that have McCain winning. Even Moulitsas's prediction seems possible - it isn't unreasonable that Obama could win GA without MT, ND or NE-2. <BR/><BR/>If you rename the site, could I get your site and Nate's at once by going to EightSeventySix.com?Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.com