tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post2417337305661063575..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: The Georgia Senate RunoffJosh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-70778548013688767922008-11-14T19:01:00.000-05:002008-11-14T19:01:00.000-05:00That's right, Clay. There is no electoral college...That's right, Clay. There is no electoral college in Georgia. Other than Henry County, the highlighted counties aren't going to offer many votes to really swing the runoff one way or the other. <BR/><BR/>The exercise was more to identify those areas that have fluctuated between the parties in recent elections and to show how areas that, should there be turnout that favors one side over the other, could tip the election toward one of the candidates across many of these closer counties. I think we can agree that those closer counties, in a wave scenario, are more likely to break toward one candidate versus some of the less competitive counties. And while this isn't an electoral college system, the cumulative effect of winning all of those counties, say, could make a or the difference on December 2.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-37447190025518337422008-11-14T17:07:00.000-05:002008-11-14T17:07:00.000-05:00Interesting read, but I must say lets not lose sig...Interesting read, but I must say lets not lose sight of the fact that candidates are not trying to win counties. They are trying to win votes. The population and the margins of victory of the counties are very important and mostly ignored here.<BR/><BR/>In presidential elections we look at different states, because of the electoral college, but within a state looking at how counties vote only allows us to examine geographic trends, but in this analysis it offers very little in analyzing the runoff.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05996454357773046021noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-7131013545901700722008-11-11T15:54:00.000-05:002008-11-11T15:54:00.000-05:00Does Martin accept PAC money from Robins Air Force...Does Martin accept PAC money from Robins Air Force Base contractors? I'm wondering what his stand is on corruption at the base.<BR/><BR/>I already know where Chambliss stands. His staff refused my complaint and said they depend on funding from a certain person, who is a key defendant in my cases.<BR/><BR/>Another member of his staff also publicly mocked me. I traced the IP number and got the MAC address from one of Chambliss' computers located in the Atlanta office.<BR/><BR/>I'd like to know if ANY politician has the guts to stand up to the corruption at Robins.Shark Girlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09148235602133742425noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-88951773157100757422008-11-07T12:27:00.000-05:002008-11-07T12:27:00.000-05:00Rob,I don't think there's any danger of be...Rob,<BR/><BR/>I don't think there's any danger of being too partisan. It's normal practice for presidents to campaign for members of their own party — Bush campaigned for Republicans in midterm elections during his presidency — and certainly it's no different for presidents-elect. Of course, he shouldn't spend all his time in Georgia, but one or two appearances should be fine.<BR/><BR/>I have faith that Martin can win for three reasons: Bill Foster, Travis Childers and the late (politically speaking) Don Cazayoux.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-58310130952835787342008-11-07T11:40:00.000-05:002008-11-07T11:40:00.000-05:00Obama needs to be careful not to be too partisan. ...Obama needs to be careful not to be too partisan. Showing up at a few well-chosen locations in the state, thanking all his supporters for their votes, and saying that he would like to have Jim Martin on his team to help change Washington. At the same time, key operatives from places like NC and FL will be aggressively organizing the GOTV. I'm expect taht Scott will weigh in saying that Obama will have just the right touch.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-6607103988810338362008-11-07T11:15:00.000-05:002008-11-07T11:15:00.000-05:00Jack,I definitely agree about "a Senate seat is a ...Jack,<BR/><BR/>I definitely agree about "a Senate seat is a Senate seat". Furthermore, if this is truly a change election, time spent campaigning there could be a sort of investment in the future. It would be very advantageous to the Democrats if they were able to make inroads into the South, and this would be a good way to do it.<BR/><BR/>Besides, even with preparations to be president, he's probably got more time now than when he was campaigning, so he could afford the time to do it.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16645401695696484967noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-34754160299555316892008-11-06T23:26:00.000-05:002008-11-06T23:26:00.000-05:00I'll have to find the link I had on the Alaska law...I'll have to find the link I had on the Alaska law. Palin <I>can</I> appoint someone, but that could be challenged in court because of the conflicting laws. But one of the laws would be struck down and the appointment would likely stand.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-3176842599081390522008-11-06T22:09:00.000-05:002008-11-06T22:09:00.000-05:00Update: laws in AK have clearly changed, as Lisa M...Update: laws in AK have clearly changed, as Lisa Murkowski did not have to stand for election for two years, until the regularly scheduled AK general election, in which she beat Tony Knowles (who also lost to Palin in 2006).Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-33665430269783624822008-11-06T22:07:00.000-05:002008-11-06T22:07:00.000-05:00Thanks for the analysis of GA-Senate. I'm followin...Thanks for the analysis of GA-Senate. I'm following these races too closely - still spending half my time staring at numbers as they slowly change for some of the House races still too close to call - so it's always great to get more info. I know it'll be tough for Democrats to win, but I do think there will be plenty of incentive for Obama to help out - a senate seat is a senate seat, 60 or not.<BR/><BR/>And to address two other points you made:<BR/><BR/>As for Alaska, I'm pretty sure Palin could make an appointment. After all, Frank Murkowski, upon becoming governor of Alaska, resigned his senate seat and appointed his replacement. That was Lisa Murkowski. It's very unfortunate he did that, because that greatly damaged Frank's reputation, leading to the rise of Sarah Palin. I don't know, however, if laws have been changed since then.<BR/><BR/>Also, recounts have led to a change in winner in <A HREF="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vermont_Auditor_of_Accounts_election,_2006" REL="nofollow">at least one statewide election</A> - though it certainly was not a high-profile one.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.com