tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post7286655310324100206..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: Here's the Deal...Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-48449584692887229342008-10-01T21:46:00.000-04:002008-10-01T21:46:00.000-04:00Actually, there are some interesting changes today...Actually, there are some interesting changes today without any tweaks, Wayne. Stay tuned.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-55648309928340906732008-10-01T21:16:00.000-04:002008-10-01T21:16:00.000-04:00Sounds good, I look forward to reading your next p...Sounds good, I look forward to reading your next post.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-18461723353238019452008-10-01T21:12:00.000-04:002008-10-01T21:12:00.000-04:00Yeah, I remember that, but I must have misread it ...Yeah, I remember that, but I must have misread it to mean that you were discounting all polls before the last three. My mistake.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-8228686024072123502008-10-01T21:06:00.000-04:002008-10-01T21:06:00.000-04:00Jack, The switch from weighting the three most rec...Jack, <BR/>The switch from weighting the three most recent polls to only the most recent poll took place just after the conclusion of primary season. But both have always included the polling from Super Tuesday on. The most recent ones aren't weighted so much as the earlier ones are discounted.<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2008/06/electoral-college-map-61508.html" REL="nofollow">Here's the link to that post.</A>.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-11192506204487270382008-10-01T20:47:00.000-04:002008-10-01T20:47:00.000-04:00For some reason, I thought your methodology was to...For some reason, I thought your methodology was to use only the last three polls and put more weight on the most recent one. Which is why I was really confused by the extreme stability of the electoral map and your comment that VA would need an Obama +10 to flip despite already being on the watchlist.<BR/><BR/>When you change methodologies, even if just going back to an old one, please detail exactly what you will do, to avoid confusion.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04365194237710177589noreply@blogger.com