tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post614692317565249571..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: State of the Race: New Jersey Governor (10/26/09)Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-58795896981862653332009-10-27T09:46:56.600-04:002009-10-27T09:46:56.600-04:00I should probably provide a link to that GA Sen pr...I should probably provide a link to that GA Sen projection if I'm going to cite it.<br /><br /><a href="http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2008/12/georgia-senate-runoff-polling.html" rel="nofollow">Projection</a><br /><br /><a href="http://projects.ajc.com/election-results/2008/12/02/us-senate/" rel="nofollow">Results</a><br /><br />The same problem exists in both the Georgia case and for NY 23: no one knows what turnout is going to be like (other than lowish), so it is difficult for the polls to identify who the likely voters are.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-10591732893444204112009-10-27T08:53:33.310-04:002009-10-27T08:53:33.310-04:00NY23 is certainly shaping up to be a closer race t...NY23 is certainly shaping up to be a closer race than Virginia is. <br /><br />Honestly, I've kept an eye on the updates in the polling in that race and tweet the new ones as they come in. But I'm wary of the total number of polls there. As the Georgia Senate runoff demonstrated last year, FHQ's averages don't do well with just a handful of polls. <br /><br />I will say this: I'll look into it.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-69253074995208321442009-10-27T01:08:56.808-04:002009-10-27T01:08:56.808-04:00you show pick up the polls taken in the NY-23 race...you show pick up the polls taken in the NY-23 raceSimple thoughtshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05735246568110010553noreply@blogger.com