tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post5642328512767080016..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: Arizona in 2012? Still Red.Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-32135045193648077732009-09-22T14:23:35.193-04:002009-09-22T14:23:35.193-04:00I would caution you not to read too much into thes...I would caution you not to read too much into these data. They are basically more or less a referendum on Obama. He has lost some of his appeal due to many factors at this point. Considering the hits he has been taking lately, these results are surprisingly good for him. As I have indicated before, if the economy doesn't get better, he is toast in all the 2008 red states and probably many of the blue states. If the economy picks up and other topics such as health care, Afghanistan and energy are looking up, he will probably turn Arizona and other red states blue. <br /><br />Two points here -- 1. we have the worst unemployment in 26 years which was the third year of a President who ran a successful re-election campaign, and 2. I met a political pollster at a bus stop in St. Louis in June, 1979 who indicated that there was no way that Carter could get the Democratic nomination if Kennedy decided to run (the point here is that candidates tend to be much more popular before they declare than after the campaign begins -- ask Fred Thompson).Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.com