tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post2819289773572646767..comments2024-03-26T05:22:08.256-04:00Comments on Frontloading HQ: State of the Race: Virginia Governor (7/8/09)Josh Putnamhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301836432446874997noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-21838289131603907282009-07-10T09:34:58.801-04:002009-07-10T09:34:58.801-04:00Agreed. My point here, and as it is probably bett...Agreed. My point here, and as it is probably better described in the New Jersey examples, is that the ability to maintain that 50% level of support is important. But maintaining that level is certainly easier said than done.<br /><br />...especially if any bomb was to drop in either of these gubernatorial races.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-3712036243529955162009-07-10T09:27:25.957-04:002009-07-10T09:27:25.957-04:00OK, I was too harsh, but I don't see how the 5...OK, I was too harsh, but I don't see how the 50% mark is meaningful when the poll is within the margin of error, particularly this early in the race when any bombshell can drastically change the race. Not that we have seen any political bombshells this year.Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-1727438221213589512009-07-09T21:45:06.453-04:002009-07-09T21:45:06.453-04:00Yes, it is too early. But other than my "fee...Yes, it is too early. But other than my "feels like" comment, I can't see where I called the race. Like I said, it just seems like a toss up with a lean toward McDonnell at this point.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-85310632675656900342009-07-09T16:09:00.194-04:002009-07-09T16:09:00.194-04:00Isn't it a little too early to call the race t...Isn't it a little too early to call the race then no matter which one of them is approaching 50%?Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-63803451264201742832009-07-08T22:16:16.111-04:002009-07-08T22:16:16.111-04:004%, so the spread is just within the margin.4%, so the spread is just within the margin.Josh Putnamhttp://frontloading.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6719252574677567989.post-86377803504285232872009-07-08T18:21:30.595-04:002009-07-08T18:21:30.595-04:00What is the margin of error in this poll?What is the margin of error in this poll?Roberthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03379192575044761972noreply@blogger.com